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Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Medvedev vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!
Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 49.27% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 50.85%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 53.31% of his opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 47.97%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.66% and 29.71% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 60.91% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 61.27% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 72.97% of matches played (W/L 54/ 20), with Arnaldi winning 64.18% (W/L 43/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 82/ 46). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 120/ 59), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
- Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.97% of matches (W/L 22/ 9), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Medvedev winning 3 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 6 and Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Medvedev and Arnaldi was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 27-04-2024, Second, Clay with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 2-6 6-4 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:40:27.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 1 times, with Medvedev winning 1 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 0, and Arnaldi 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.11 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 171.07.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 55% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 43.24% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 35.55% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Medvedev 3 - 0 Arnaldi
4
Rank
1
High
28
Age
R
Plays
3
Total0
2
Hard0
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
37
Rank
35
High
23
Age
Plays
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
Form
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
72% (512-204)
Career Total W/L
63% (202-117)
77% (23-7)
YTD W/L
56% (15-12)
$29,090,920
Career Prize Money
$1,222,595
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Daniil Medvedev | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 1 |
| Games Won | 39 | 27 |
| Aces (Total) | 18 | 11 |
| DFs (Total) | 13 | 9 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:40:27 | 1:40:27 |
| 1st Serve % | 65% (132/204) | 55% (120/220) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 78% (103/132) | 68% (81/120) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 57% (41/72) | 49% (49/100) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 40% (8/20) | 25% (2/8) |
| Return Points W% | 41% (90/220) | 29% (60/204) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (3/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 6-4 6-4 |
Stats 
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
||||
| 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
70%
(
43 of
61)
1st Serve %
48%
(
32 of
67)
9
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
18 of
35)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
30%
(
18 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
28 of
67)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
| 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
37 of
62)
1st Serve %
58%
(
37 of
64)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
31%
(
19 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
29 of
64)
72
Total Points Won
54
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Daniil Medvedev | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 77% (23/7) | 56% (15/12) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 67% (54/27) | 54% (36/31) |
| Games Win/Loss | 54% (429/366) | 50% (340/336) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 82% (18/4) | 56% (10/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 63% (5/3) | 56% (5/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| Aces Total | 164 | 193 |
| DFs per game | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| DFs Total | 120 | 80 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:5:9 | 2:6:41 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 104.47 | 182.33 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (1529/2501) | 56% (1241/2206) |
| 1st Serve W% | 73% (1111/1529) | 72% (895/1241) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (484/972) | 51% (490/965) |
| BPs Won% Total | 44% (112/255) | 36% (71/196) |
| Return Pts W% | 40% (1026/2560) | 37% (805/2185) |
| Slam W/L | 86% (6/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Masters W/L | 74% (14/5) | 55% (6/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (3/1) | 57% (8/6) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 77% (17/22) | 54% (13/24) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 86% (6/7) | 50% (1/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 83% (10/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Deciding Set W% | 89% (8/9) | 46% (6/13) |
| 1st set W, W | 94% (17/16) | 71% (14/10) |
| 1st set W, L | 6% (17/1) | 29% (14/4) |
| 1st set L, W | 54% (13/7) | 33% (12/4) |
Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R4 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve %
45%
(
19 of
42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59%
(
23 of
39)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
11 of
19)
74%
(
14 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
21 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
58
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jack Draper
50%
(
35 of
70)
1st Serve %
48%
(
32 of
66)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
83%
(
29 of
35)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
40%
(
14 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
39%
(
27 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
31 of
66)
74
Total Points Won
62
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67%
(
16 of
24)
1st Serve %
70%
(
23 of
33)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
94%
(
15 of
16)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
15 of
23)
63%
(
5 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
6 of
10)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
17%
(
4 of
24)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
12 of
33)
32
Total Points Won
25
|
6-4 ret. | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve %
57%
(
46 of
81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68%
(
25 of
37)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
33 of
46)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
12 of
35)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
35%
(
23 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
36 of
81)
78
Total Points Won
68
|
7-6(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
66%
(
77 of
116)
1st Serve %
58%
(
59 of
101)
7
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
0
77%
(
59 of
77)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
41 of
59)
51%
(
20 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
25 of
42)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
32%
(
37 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
35 of
101)
114
Total Points Won
103
|
5-7 7-6(4) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Karen Khachanov
Player
Daniil Medvedev
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
52 of
86)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
8
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
32 of
52)
32%
(
6 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
22 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
86)
83
Total Points Won
67
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Gael Monfils
48%
(
24 of
50)
1st Serve %
75%
(
48 of
64)
0
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
0
83%
(
20 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
25 of
48)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
32 of
64)
68
Total Points Won
46
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Daniil Medvedev
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
32 of
50)
7
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
26 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
38 of
63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
17 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
view more
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
82
Total Points Won
65
|
6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53%
(
57 of
107)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
40 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
56%
(
28 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
36%
(
39 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
32 of
89)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
3-6 7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve %
71%
(
37 of
52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73%
(
24 of
33)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
22 of
37)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
52)
60
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75%
(
50 of
67)
1st Serve %
53%
(
27 of
51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60%
(
30 of
50)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
15 of
27)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55%
(
26 of
47)
1st Serve %
61%
(
38 of
62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
21 of
38)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
23%
(
11 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
32 of
62)
68
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55%
(
52 of
95)
1st Serve %
66%
(
83 of
125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
46 of
83)
44%
(
19 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
41%
(
39 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
58 of
125)
114
Total Points Won
106
|
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60%
(
24 of
40)
1st Serve %
69%
(
24 of
35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71%
(
17 of
24)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
31%
(
5 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
45%
(
18 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
17 of
35)
39
Total Points Won
36
|
5-5 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Sumit Nagal
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
64 of
100)
1st Serve %
55%
(
53 of
97)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
55%
(
35 of
64)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
36 of
53)
72%
(
26 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
19 of
44)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
39%
(
39 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
42 of
97)
103
Total Points Won
94
|
5-7 6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63%
(
38 of
60)
1st Serve %
65%
(
31 of
48)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
22 of
31)
64%
(
14 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
32%
(
19 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
48)
60
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
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Medvedev Vs Arnaldi Prediction H2H Images To Share
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
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